Housing Inventory

The rise in home prices slowed in March as buyers pulled back

Home-price gains in the US slowed in March as listings climbed without a corresponding uptick in buyer demand. A national gauge of prices was up 3.4% from a year earlier, according to data from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller. That was smaller than the 4% annual increase in February. READ MORE: Mortgage rates keep rising, influenced by […]

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Why did we just see the highest new home sales print in years?

I know this is a crazy stat, given how much the builders’ confidence is falling, but new home sales just had the highest monthly sales print in years. Can this be revised lower in the future? Yes, just like the previous months have been. But there’s a bigger story here that I’ll address because this

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With more inventory, where are home prices headed?

Last year, I predicted a national home-price increase of 2.33%. While that forecast was lower than most others, it seemed achievable due to higher mortgage rates and increased inventory. I was wrong and too low for 2024. This year, my prediction is even lower at 1.77% national home-price growth. So far this year, the existing home

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Home prices expected to dip as supply and demand collide

U.S. home prices are projected to flatten in the third quarter and decline 1% year over year by the fourth quarter of 2025, according to a new report from Redfin. The company also expects mortgage rates to remain elevated near 7% through the end of the year. This marks a sharp reversal from more than

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Rural America isn’t immune to housing squeeze

Rural areas of the U.S. that have long been viewed as a refuge for affordable homeownership are now grappling with rising prices, limited inventory and increasing competition — pressures once thought unique to urban housing markets. “Even the term ‘affordable’ feels like a relic of the past,” said Jake Vehige, president of mortgage lending at

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Inventory back to 2019 levels and what that means for 2025

To start things off, I have an announcement to make, today will be my last weekly article for Altos Research. I founded Altos nearly 20 years ago to bring a new level of analytics and data to the housing market. Two and a half years ago, Altos was acquired by HousingWire, and it’s been tremendously

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Better mortgage spreads boost housing demand in 2025

One of the lesser known storylines in housing economics is that the improvement in mortgage spreads since 2023 has contributed to a noticeable trend in purchase application data for 2025, which is now showing 15 consecutive weeks of positive year-over-year growth.  Mortgage spreads recently turned negative due to market volatility, which resulted in an increase

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Housing starts increase on pickup in multifamily construction

US housing starts increased in April as a pickup in multifamily home construction more than offset a decline in single-family dwellings caused by elevated inventory. New residential construction increased 1.6% to an annualized rate of 1.36 million homes, according to government data released Friday. That was in line with the median estimate in a Bloomberg

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What do you call an iBuyer that isn’t iBuying houses?

Opendoor looked like it had the potential to disrupt the entire residential real estate industry when it launched in 2014, but today it and competitor Offerpad are almost afterthoughts. The so-called iBuyers have yet to find a way to consistently turn a profit, and their presence in the industry has slowly shrunk. With macroeconomic headwinds

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Mortgage applications for new homes soar to record high

New-home purchase activity is showing renewed strength this spring, with loan applications hitting their highest mark on record, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage applications for newly constructed single-family homes in April accelerated 5.3% from a year ago, the industry trade group said. On a month-over-month basis, loan volume increased a nonseasonally adjusted 2%

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