Al Drago/Bloomberg Key insight: Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said the short-term impact of AI-related job cuts will likely lead to long-term economic gains, as new technology may create new jobs with higher pay. He also said the central bank is working to bring inflation back to its 2% target but noted there is “some […]
Fed Gov. Barr says AI may cause ‘dislocations’ in labor force Read More »
The odds that the Federal Reserve will cut benchmark interest rates again in December are still high — but not as high as they were before last week’s cut. As of Monday, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, 70% of interest rate traders are anticipating another 25-basis-point pullback after the Fed’s final meeting of
Another Fed rate cut to finish 2025? Not so fast Read More »
Key Insight: Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said she wants banks to have an even playing field with nonbanks when it comes to holding digital assets, though stressed this should be done in a way that promotes safety and soundness. Expert quote: “We want to make sure [banks are] engaging in a way that separates
Fed’s Bowman seeks level field for banks on digital assets Read More »
Ting Shen/Bloomberg Key Insight: Fed Gov. Lisa Cook highlighted her commitment to getting inflation to 2% and said she will “act forcefully” if signs emerge that point to cost pressures increasing. Expert quote: “Looking ahead, policy is not on a predetermined path.” — Fed Gov. Lisa Cook. What’s at stake: Cook’s remarks come amid a growing rift
Fed’s Cook strikes hawkish tone in rare appearance Read More »
The Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point cut to its benchmark interest rate on Wednesday, setting the target range at 3.75% to 4%. The move, which brings the federal funds rate to its lowest level in three years, comes amid a softening labor market and inflation pressures. Monetary policy watchers expect another cut in December, which
Fed rate cut could lower mortgage rates further Read More »
Key Insight: The October Federal Open Market Committee cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but comments from Chair Jerome Powell caught market watchers off guard, casting doubt on the likelihood of another rate cut in December. Expert Quote: “There were strongly differing views about how to proceed in December. A further reduction
Fed’s rate cut trajectory unclear as dueling dissents emerge Read More »
Key Insight: Market watchers expect the central bank to announce an end to its QT program soon, signaling the close of the Fed’s large-scale asset purchases during the pandemic. Economists have varying feelings about the program, with some urging the Fed to reconsider future purchases of mortgage-backed securities. Expert Quote: “You can argue about whether it’s
As Fed mulls the end of QT, what lessons have been learned? Read More »
A growing number of economists believe that the Federal Reserve is close to announcing the end of its quantitative tightening (QT) program — a move that could have wide-reaching implications for the mortgage industry. Over the past few weeks, central bank officials have signaled they are prepared to wind down the policy aimed at shrinking
Fed prepares to pivot balance sheet, with potential ripple effects for mortgages Read More »
Key insight: Federal Reserve Gov. Michael Barr said in a speech Thursday that he fears the way tariff price increases are being passed on to consumers could result in an unmooring of inflation expectations, potentially leading to more inflation — and higher interest rates — down the road. Expert quote: “While, in principle, tariffs are
Fed’s Barr skeptical that inflation has been tamed Read More »
Bloomberg News Key Insight: Fed Gov. Stephen Miran said central bank independence in setting monetary policy is of “critical importance,” highlighting that the central bank’s decisions should be insulated from politics. Expert quote: “Monetary policy should be set for the goals that Congress has assigned the Fed — for price stability and full employment —
Miran cites ‘critical importance’ of Fed independence Read More »